Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.002246 0.002374 0.002510 0.002665 0.002839 0.003030 0.003255
2025-02-23 0.002095 0.002279 0.002484 0.002734 0.003035 0.003391 0.003853
2025-03-02 0.001939 0.002149 0.002393 0.002703 0.003096 0.003592 0.004290
2025-03-09 0.001806 0.002029 0.002295 0.002644 0.003106 0.003718 0.004643
2025-03-16 0.001748 0.001991 0.002289 0.002693 0.003252 0.004039 0.005334
2025-03-23 0.001696 0.001953 0.002277 0.002729 0.003381 0.004351 0.006090
2025-03-30 0.001626 0.001888 0.002223 0.002701 0.003411 0.004514 0.006639
2025-04-06 0.001549 0.001808 0.002143 0.002630 0.003366 0.004549 0.006954
2025-04-13 0.001494 0.001755 0.002095 0.002598 0.003376 0.004674 0.007490
2025-04-20 0.001409 0.001657 0.001982 0.002463 0.003214 0.004476 0.007263
2025-04-27 0.001376 0.001627 0.001959 0.002461 0.003261 0.004656 0.007970
2025-05-04 0.001365 0.001626 0.001978 0.002518 0.003411 0.005054 0.009425
2025-05-11 0.001335 0.001600 0.001960 0.002525 0.003483 0.005329 0.010796
2025-05-18 0.001324 0.001598 0.001978 0.002588 0.003663 0.005881 0.013696
2025-05-25 0.001287 0.001560 0.001941 0.002560 0.003674 0.006060 0.015425
2025-06-01 0.001246 0.001514 0.001890 0.002507 0.003631 0.006102 0.016615
2025-06-08 0.001233 0.001508 0.001899 0.002552 0.003781 0.006671 0.022177
2025-06-15 0.001219 0.001498 0.001900 0.002584 0.003913 0.007241 0.030828
2025-06-22 0.001191 0.001468 0.001870 0.002559 0.003921 0.007460 0.037902
2025-06-29 0.001155 0.001425 0.001818 0.002494 0.003838 0.007380 0.040427
2025-07-06 0.001130 0.001397 0.001787 0.002465 0.003830 0.007539 0.050032
2025-07-13 0.001083 0.001337 0.001706 0.002343 0.003610 0.006964 0.039102
2025-07-20 0.001067 0.001321 0.001693 0.002340 0.003653 0.007274 0.053785